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| 2020年前三季度我国生猪市场现状、未来发展趋势与建议 |
| Current situation of pig market in China in the first three quarters of 2020 and its future development trends |
| 投稿时间：2020-09-24 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 中国生猪市场 2020年1—3季度现状 未来趋势 |
| 英文关键词:China's pig market The current situation in the fi rst three quarters of 2020 The future trend |
| 基金项目:国家生猪产业技术体系建设专项（CARS-35） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 2020年上半年我国生猪产业在非洲猪瘟防控压力尚未解除的情况下，又面临着新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情防控的艰巨任务。在新冠肺炎疫情得到有效的控制之后，我国南部各省以及重庆、四川、甘肃等地又发生严重洪涝灾害，这些灾害集中发生在2020年的上半年，无疑让养猪人承受了巨大的压力。另一方面受到洪涝灾害等因素影响，我国6—7月份生猪价格有较大幅度上涨，同时再加上各种政策利好，部分中小散养户盲目扩大生产的情况频频出现，这种情况虽然现阶段对我国生猪产能的恢复有利，但对于未来生猪疫病的防控以及维护生猪价格的稳定上却有着显著的负面影响。文章收集整理了我国生猪市场相关统计数据，客观分析现阶段生猪市场行情以及未来发展趋势，并提出相关合理化建议。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| In the first half of 2020, China's pig industry is confronted with both two arduous tasks of COVID-19 prevention and control, and African swine fever(ASF) prevention and control. In addition, the following severe fl oods occurred in the southern provinces of China, as well as in Chongqing, Sichuan, Gansu and other places. These natural disasters are concentrated in the fi rst half of 2020, which put a lot of pressure on the pig farmers. At the same time, affected by factors such as fl oods disasters, the price of live pigs recovered considerably from June to July. Coupled with various favorable policies, some small and medium-sized free-range households blindly expanded their production. This situation is benefi cial to the recovery of pig production capacity in China, but it has a obvious negative impact on the prevention and control of pig epidemics and the maintenance of pig price stability in the future. Therefore, this paper collects relevant statistical data of China's pig market, and analyzes the current market situation and future development trend of pig market, and puts forward relevant suggestion. |
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