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| 政策措施落实显效，生猪生产趋稳向好——2019年生猪市场回顾与未来走势展望 |
| The stable improvement of pig production because of effective implementation of policies and measures——Review of pig market in 2019 and future trend |
| 投稿时间：2019-12-23 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 政策措施落实显效 生猪生产趋稳向好 |
| 英文关键词:Effective implementation of policies and measures Stable and better pig production |
| 基金项目: |
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| 摘要点击次数: 817 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 2019年是真正的金猪年。由于非洲猪瘟疫情影响，生猪产能持续下降，导致生猪价格年内一度创下出栏均价40元/kg以上的罕见高位，并维持较长时间，行业盈利达到历史最好最高水平。目前，年关将至，已进入猪肉的传统消费旺季，加之“灌香肠、制腊肉”相继启动，元旦、春节来临，或将再度推动全国猪价阶段性上行。而随着一系列稳定生猪生产的扶持政策落实显效，目前全国生猪生产呈现整体趋稳向好态势。预计，2020年猪价仍将在高位区间波动运行，后市或将逐渐震荡回调。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| 2019 is the real golden pig year. Due to the impact of African swine fever, pig production capacity continues to decline, causing a rare high of the average price of pigs over 40 yuan/kg in the year.And it maintains for a long time, so the industry's profit reached the highest level in history. when approaching the end of the year, it has entered the traditional peak season of pork consumption, and "filling sausage and making Bacon" has been launched successively. The arrival of New Year's day and Spring Festival may boost the national pig price up again. With a series of stable support policies for pig production which have been implemented effectively, pig production in China shows a good overall trend of stability. It is expected that the price of pigs will still fluctuate in the high range in 2020, and the future market may gradually fluctuate back. |
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